The Meteorological Service has reported that Tropical Storm Rafael is intensifying as it draws nearer to Jamaica’s southern coast. In its latest 5 AM update, the agency indicated that the storm’s center was situated approximately 170 kilometers (105 miles) southwest of Kingston and 130 kilometers (80 miles) southeast of Negril Point.
Currently, Rafael is progressing northwest at a speed of 20 km/h (13 mph), and this trajectory is anticipated to continue in the coming days. Forecast models suggest that the storm will approach Jamaica by Tuesday morning, pass near the Cayman Islands later that evening, and reach western Cuba by Wednesday.
The storm’s maximum sustained winds have now increased to around 95 km/h (60 mph), with potential for even stronger gusts. Meteorologists expect Rafael to undergo steady to rapid intensification within the next 24 to 36 hours, potentially evolving into a hurricane as it nears the Cayman Islands, followed by further strengthening before making landfall in Cuba. The Meteorological Service noted that tropical storm-force winds are extending outward up to 165 kilometers (105 miles) from the storm’s center.
As a result of the storm’s projected path, Jamaicans should prepare for significant rainfall throughout Tuesday, with expected totals ranging from 75 to 150 millimeters (three to six inches). This deluge could lead to flash flooding in susceptible areas across the island. Higher elevations are likely to experience even more substantial rainfall, increasing the risk of landslides in vulnerable regions. Additionally, coastal flooding and strong, gusty winds reaching tropical storm strength are also anticipated.
The Meteorological Service has advised small craft operators to remain in safe harbor until all advisories have been revoked and conditions improve. As the situation develops, residents are encouraged to stay informed and heed safety precautions.
